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Royal Navy Incident: Iran's Larger Plan
by Walid Phares
The capture of British Navy servicemen by Iranian forces is not simply an incident over sea sovereignty in the Persian Gulf. It is a calculated move on behalf of Teheran's Jihadi chess players to provoke a "projected" counter move by London and its American allies. It is all happening in a regional context, carefully engineered by the Mullahs’ strategic planners. FSM Contributing Editor Dr. Walid Phares explains how.
The Iranian regime's master plan is to wait out the remainder of Tony Blair's mandate (a few more months) and the remaining "real time" of President Bush (till about the end of 2007). The consensus of thought in Tehran, based on the influence of Western consultants, believes that Washington and London have reached the end of the rope and they will have only till 2008 to do something major to destabilize the Ahmedinijad regime.
As explained by a notorious propagandist on al Jazeera today, the move is precisely to respond to the Anglo-American attempt to "stir trouble" inside Iran. Anis Naccash, a Lebanese intellectual supporter of the Ayatollahs’ regime appeared from Tehran a few hours ago on the Qatari-based satellite and "explained" that the "US and the UK must understand that Iran is at war with these two powers inasmuch as they support the rise of movements and security and instability inside Iran."
He added that Khamenei is clear on the regime's decision to strike: "we will be at war with you on all levels: secret, diplomatic, military and other." Pro-Iranian propagandists in the region, via media and online, rushed to warn that this movement is part of Iran's counter-strike against any attempt to destabilize the regime. Two major tracks emerge from these statements, the Iranian military maneuvers and the capture of British Navy personnel.
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1) Iran's domestic front is putting pressure on the Ahmedinijad regime.
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2) The regime "needs" an external clash to crush the domestic challenge.
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3) The regime plan is to drag its opponents into a trap.
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Pertinent Links:
1) Royal Navy Incident: Iran's Larger Plan
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